WEBVTT

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Who is the murder of Darya Dugina?

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Russia and Ukraine each sticks to its own argument

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Russia has presented various evidence

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but all have been denied by Ukraine

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Instead, Ukraine alleged that this has been

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the result of Russia’s internal conflicts

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Anyway it is undeniable that

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Dugina’s death will change the Russia-Ukraine war

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that has been going on for half a year

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Today we are glad to have Yang Cheng with us

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for further comment and analysis

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Mr. Yang is the Executive Dean of Shanghai Academy of Global Governance &

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Area Studies at Shanghai International Studies University.

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Good evening, Mr. Yang!

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Do you think Dugina’s death

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means that assassinations beyond the

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Russia-Ukraine battlefield have begun

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In your view

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how will the Russian side react to this incident

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First of all

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regardless of Dugina’s personal political stance

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it is tragic that

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she was killed in a car bombing

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Second, for the question you asked just now

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it seems that the evidence

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released by Russia is true to you, namely

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the mission was planned by the Ukrainian special department

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But this may not be the full facts

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Russia presented the evidence

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within a day after the killing of Dugina

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To a certain extent, it is convincing

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However, Ukraine denied any involvement in the killing

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immediately after the incident on August 21

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The next day, its senior officials repeated those denials

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We should also note that day in the UN

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a recognized authoritative organization

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the Spokesman for the UN Secretary General emphasized that

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the UN was calling for an investigation

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to establish the full facts behind the attack

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This actually means some disclosed evidence

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including the so-called murder

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and his identity documents are not so convincing

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If the mission was well-organized and carefully-planned

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the identity documents of the people concerned

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and related stuff should have been destroyed timely

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I think this may be just a single event

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We still need to observe the

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subsequent possible chain reactions

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I don’t think it will definitely trigger

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a series of struggles beyond the battlefield

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It’s more likely to be reflected in

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information warfare that centers on, for example

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whether the assassination of Dugina

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was an act authorized by the Ukrainian government

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In this case, Russia and the West may

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enter into a fierce defensive information warfare

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But that doesn’t mean there will

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be tit for tat such as a suicide attack

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a bomb attack or other assassinations

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I don’t think this kind of responses are desirable choice

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whether for Russia or Ukraine

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More likely, as Dugin himself said

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at his daughter’s memorial service

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they hope the Russian army wins

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Maybe this is what he wants

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The future Russia-Ukraine relations

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will be specifically defined by the war

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We should analyze from this perspective

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I insist that the development of the

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Russia-Ukraine war doesn’t depend on

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such a single incident,the killing of Dugina

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Because the war itself

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or this special military operation

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in Russian terms

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may also rely on some key elements of the war itself

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for instance, the equipment, the morale

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the tactical abilities and mobilization capabilities of both sides involved

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Of course, it is also decided by their capabilities

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for intelligence warfare and information warfare

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In a nutshell, it may not be easily

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affected by such a single event

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It is true that this incident must be a catalyst

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and it may make the Russia-Ukraine conflict escalate

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Thank you for your comments and analysis on this topic